Minnesota United 2-3 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2024

Minnesota United
2-3 HT 1-2
Seattle Sounders
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.59
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.64
X/2
9%
5.69
X/X
14%
4.94
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.63
2/X
8%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v Seattle Sounders — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.96/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.33
-9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.1 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
326 Passes 465
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United CONLK
16.06.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
27.08.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
23.04.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
15.05.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-1 HT 0-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
03.04.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-2 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD

Minnesota United 2-3 Seattle Sounders — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
2-3
AWAY Seattle Sounders
2.09 xG 1.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
410 Passes 304
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders edged past Minnesota United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Seattle Sounders found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 56% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 44%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.09 to 1.66 — on chances, Minnesota United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Minnesota United and 1.83 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders?

Minnesota United 2-3 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 40%, draw 28%, Seattle Sounders 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5
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