Nashville SC 0-2 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.8
X/2
8%
6.64
X/X
18%
4.78
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.67
2/X
4%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -2%
1.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.56
-13% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.4 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Austin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.85 xG 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
251 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2022 Austin Austin 1-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
04.09.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
24.05.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
0-2
AWAY Austin
1.92 xG 2.11
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
423 Passes 282
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin beat Nashville SC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nashville SC had 59% of the ball to Austin's 41%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.92 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nashville SC and 0.33 for Austin.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Austin?

Nashville SC 0-2 Austin in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 41%, draw 29%, Austin 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nashville SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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