Charlotte 1-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.1
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.01
X/2
15%
6.38
X/X
11%
4.87
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.35
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
1.23/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.27
-15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.8 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.05 xG 1.16
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.10.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 5-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
22.06.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.03.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
09.10.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
11.06.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte and New York Red Bulls shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlotte and 2.17 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?

Charlotte 1-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 39%, draw 27%, New York Red Bulls 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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