CF Montreal 0-5 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.76
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
18%
4.72
X/2
9%
7.11
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
10%
4.91
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.57/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.70
+4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.1 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY New England Revolution
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
09.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 4-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
18.09.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
21.08.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-0 HT 2-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
30.09.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-4 HT 1-3 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
26.07.2021 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
0-5
AWAY New England Revolution
0.93 xG 2.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
539 Passes 389
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution swept aside CF Montreal 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 57% of the ball to New England Revolution's 43%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.93 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CF Montreal and 1.67 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs New England Revolution?

CF Montreal 0-5 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 51%, draw 24%, New England Revolution 26%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CF Montreal), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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