New York City FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
0-2
HT 0-1
New York City FC
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
New York City FC 2-2 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC and Chicago Fire shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, New York City FC had 58% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 42%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.31 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New York City FC and 0.17 for Chicago Fire.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?
New York City FC 2-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 52%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.