Chicago Fire 0-0 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.46
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 29% vs market 17.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.06
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.24
X/2
12%
6.47
X/X
17%
5.31
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
13%
4.1
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.41/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.2 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
1W-1D-4L
AWAY New York City FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
350 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
05.03.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
22.08.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-2 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
23.05.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
28.10.2021 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
30.09.2021 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
0-0
AWAY New York City FC
0.87 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
315 Passes 298
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire and New York City FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 51% of the ball to New York City FC's 49%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.87 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.00 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?

Chicago Fire 0-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 39%, draw 29%, New York City FC 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chicago Fire), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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