FC Cincinnati 1-3 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
7.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.67 — our 25% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
9%
9.78
X/X
14%
5.99
2/1
6%
20.65
2/2
11%
6.84
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.78/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.47
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
13.6 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
09.07.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
04.09.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
27.03.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-3
AWAY Charlotte
2.18 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
373 Passes 395
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte saw off FC Cincinnati 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 48% of the ball to Charlotte's 52%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.18 to 1.69 — on chances, FC Cincinnati could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.00 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

FC Cincinnati 1-3 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 48%, draw 25%, Charlotte 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
14 Jul 2024
02:30 DC United vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 New England Revolution vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Atlanta United Analysis →
03:30 Chicago Fire vs New York City FC Analysis →
03:30 FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis →