DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
DC United
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
ABD
1-3
HT 0-2
Nashville SC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Nashville SC
ABD
5-2
HT 3-2
DC United
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
DC United 2-1 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics
DC United squeezed past Nashville SC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, DC United had 54% of the ball to Nashville SC's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.08 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold DC United's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for DC United and 2.00 for Nashville SC.
What was the final score of DC United vs Nashville SC?
DC United 2-1 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs Nashville SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split DC United 42%, draw 26%, Nashville SC 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.