DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
DC United v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
DC United 2-1 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics
DC United squeezed past Nashville SC 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came home.
Under the surface, DC United had 54% of the ball to Nashville SC's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.08 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold DC United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for DC United and 2.00 for Nashville SC.
DC United vs Nashville SC Result & Final Score
DC United 2 - 1 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split DC United 48%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.