CF Montreal 1-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 14 Jul 2024

CF Montreal
1-0 HT 0-0
Atlanta United
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
11%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.51
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
9%
5.81
X/X
9%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
24.85
2/2
19%
3.42
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 13% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CF Montreal v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.30/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
+16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
17.9 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

CF Montreal vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 1.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 453
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
09.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
30.04.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
19.03.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-3 HT 1-3 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
03.10.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
05.08.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal nicked a narrow win over Atlanta United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CF Montreal as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CF Montreal and 2.00 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Atlanta United?

CF Montreal 1-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 42%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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