Charlotte 1-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.41
1/2
4%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
5.05
X/2
18%
5.97
X/X
9%
4.24
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.33
2/X
9%
13.35
Value flag · X/1 at 5.05 — our 22% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.09
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.7 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.90 xG 1.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
388 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
09.07.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
04.09.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
27.03.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
1-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
2.35 xG 1.65
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
264 Passes 485
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte and FC Cincinnati shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Charlotte had 38% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 62%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 2.35 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlotte and 1.75 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?

Charlotte 1-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 38%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5
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