Inter Miami 1-1 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Mar 2024

Inter Miami
1-1 HT 1-1
New York City FC
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Inter Miami vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
9%
7.96
X/X
17%
5.05
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
12%
5.77
2/X
4%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.51/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-7% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.8 Crosses 12.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Inter Miami vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
1W-1D-4L
AWAY New York City FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.97 xG 1.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
487 Passes 376
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-2 HT 0-1 New York City FC New York City FC HAZ
01.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
12.03.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
18.10.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.08.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 1-2 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
24.07.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD

Inter Miami 1-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
1-1
AWAY New York City FC
2.10 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
481 Passes 371
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami and New York City FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 56% of the ball to New York City FC's 44%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.10 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Inter Miami and 1.83 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Inter Miami 1-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 46%, draw 27%, New York City FC 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter Miami), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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