DC United 1-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Mar 2024

DC United
1-0 HT 0-0
CF Montreal
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

DC United vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
6+ Goals
15%
8.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.26
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
12%
4.31
X/2
10%
8.83
X/X
10%
5.71
2/1
6%
21.2
2/2
13%
6.11
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

DC United v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.72/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.58
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.0 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

DC United vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 397
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United CONLK
01.06.2023 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
16.04.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
02.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
24.07.2022 DC United DC United 1-2 HT 0-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
09.08.2021 DC United DC United 2-1 HT 1-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD

DC United 1-0 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-0
AWAY CF Montreal
2.16 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 8
272 Passes 393
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH DC United vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United nicked a narrow win over CF Montreal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had DC United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, DC United had 44% of the ball to CF Montreal's 56%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.16 to 0.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold DC United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for DC United and 1.00 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of DC United vs CF Montreal?

DC United 1-0 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split DC United 46%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (DC United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (DC United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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