Austin 2-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.36
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.18
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
10%
4.48
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.19
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.54/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.51
+20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
22.7 Crosses 14.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
22.06.2023 Austin Austin 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
14.05.2023 Austin Austin 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
24.10.2022 Austin Austin 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
17.07.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
26.06.2022 Austin Austin 2-2 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
2-1
AWAY FC Dallas
1.51 xG 0.66
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
493 Passes 201
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austin vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austin nicked a narrow win over FC Dallas 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Austin made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Austin had 67% of the ball to FC Dallas's 33%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.51 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austin and 1.00 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of Austin vs FC Dallas?

Austin 2-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Austin 37%, draw 29%, FC Dallas 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
31 Mar 2024
02:30 Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs CF Montreal Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs New York City FC Analysis →
03:30 Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Analysis →