Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
1-2
HT 0-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
4-3
HT 2-2
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
Houston Dynamo 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo nicked a narrow win over San Jose Earthquakes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 81% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 19%, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 0.80 to 0.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.50 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Houston Dynamo 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 49%, draw 28%, San Jose Earthquakes 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.