Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
2-2
HT 0-1
Toronto FC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-3
HT 1-2
Sporting Kansas City
ABD
4-1
HT 2-1
Toronto FC
ABD
Toronto FC 1-3 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Kansas City saw off Toronto FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Sporting Kansas City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Toronto FC had 62% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 38%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.38 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Toronto FC and 2.00 for Sporting Kansas City.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Toronto FC 1-3 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 40%, draw 26%, Sporting Kansas City 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.