Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toronto FC v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toronto FC 1-3 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Kansas City saw off Toronto FC 3-1 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Sporting Kansas City made the difference.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Toronto FC had 62% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 38%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.38 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Toronto FC and 2.00 for Sporting Kansas City.
Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City Result & Final Score
Toronto FC 1 - 3 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 40%, draw 29%, Sporting Kansas City 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toronto FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.