Inter Miami 2-0 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.59
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.64
6+ Goals
15%
6.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.44
1/2
4%
31.5
1/X
4%
12.9
X/1
10%
4.77
X/2
13%
8.09
X/X
10%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.5
2/2
13%
5.05
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +25%
1.78/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.59
+29% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
14.9 Crosses 11.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.33 xG 2.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
471 Passes 369
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 6-1 HT 4-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
08.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.08.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-3 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABDK
02.04.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
31.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-4 HT 3-2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
19.03.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-1 HT 2-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-0
AWAY FC Cincinnati
0.50 xG 1.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
314 Passes 457
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 45
5 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami beat FC Cincinnati 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Miami had 42% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 58%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.50 to 1.39 — on chances, FC Cincinnati could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inter Miami and 3.00 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati?

Inter Miami 2-0 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 48%, draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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