FC Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.4pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +24%
1.69/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.46
-7% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.0 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.96 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.08.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-3 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABDK
02.04.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
31.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-4 HT 3-2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
19.03.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-1 HT 2-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
24.10.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
6-1
AWAY Inter Miami
3.75 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
489 Passes 406
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
38 Box Touches 23
6 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati swept aside Inter Miami 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 53% of the ball to Inter Miami's 47%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 3.75 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Cincinnati and 2.17 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?

FC Cincinnati 6-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 49%, draw 23%, Inter Miami 28%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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