Philadelphia Union 0-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.47/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.01
-7% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.7 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
4W-2D-0L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.67 xG 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
242 Passes 235
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
09.08.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls CONLK
07.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-1 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
04.09.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-2 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
15.05.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
20.11.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
0-0
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.56 xG 3.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
352 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 53% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 47%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.56 to 3.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.50 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?

Philadelphia Union 0-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated an New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 37%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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