Real Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.75
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.66
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.9 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Salt Lake
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
345 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
25.05.2019 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
23.09.2018 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
23.04.2017 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Salt Lake
5-2
AWAY Atlanta United
1.73 xG 1.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
586 Passes 302
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Salt Lake vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Salt Lake ran out comfortable winners over Atlanta United 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Real Salt Lake had 62% of the ball to Atlanta United's 38%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.73 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Salt Lake and 2.00 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Atlanta United?

Real Salt Lake 5-2 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 52%, draw 25%, Atlanta United 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Salt Lake) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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