Orlando City 5-0 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.83/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.65
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.1 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY DC United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.50 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.04.2024 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
23.04.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-3 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
12.03.2023 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
01.08.2022 DC United DC United 2-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
05.07.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 3-5 HT 0-2 DC United DC United ABD
03.10.2021 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
5-0
AWAY DC United
2.32 xG 0.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
520 Passes 294
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
49 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City cruised past DC United 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orlando City had 62% of the ball to DC United's 38%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.32 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orlando City and 2.33 for DC United.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs DC United?

Orlando City 5-0 DC United in the USA - Major League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 48%, draw 24%, DC United 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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