CF Montreal 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.50/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.28
+21% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.7 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.61 xG 1.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
371 Passes 384
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
16.04.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
08.05.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
17.09.2020 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.09.2020 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-4 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
26.08.2020 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
1-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.89 xG 1.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
541 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 63% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 37%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.89 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CF Montreal and 2.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

CF Montreal 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 44%, draw 25%, Vancouver Whitecaps 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CF Montreal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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