Austin vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Austin 2-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Austin edged past New York City FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Austin had 46% of the ball to New York City FC's 54%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.17 to 2.30 — on chances, New York City FC could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Austin vs New York City FC?
Austin 2-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Austin 44%, draw 28%, New York City FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.