Rosenborg II 1-1 Surnadal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 2 Jun 2025

📅02/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
54%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-11.9pp
19%
Draw
11%
+7.4pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Surnadal EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
3.55/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.86
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +68%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Surnadal
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 3-1 HT 1-1 Surnadal Surnadal NOR4
22.07.2024 Surnadal Surnadal 0-4 HT 0-2 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg II
1-1
AWAY Surnadal
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg II and Surnadal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rosenborg II at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosenborg II had 64% of the ball to Surnadal's 36%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rosenborg II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Rosenborg II and 0.50 for Surnadal.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Surnadal?

Rosenborg II 1-1 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 02/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Surnadal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg II win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 68%, draw 19%, Surnadal 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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