Rosenborg II 3-1 Surnadal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
12%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.94
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.32
No
49%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
62%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.6pp
12%
Away Win
19%
-7.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.8pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
72%
-20.1pp
49%
BTTS No
28%
+20.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Surnadal EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.35/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.48
-9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
488 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Surnadal
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2024 Surnadal Surnadal 0-4 HT 0-2 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg II
3-1
AWAY Surnadal
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg II saw off Surnadal 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rosenborg II as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rosenborg II had 51% of the ball to Surnadal's 49%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Surnadal?

Rosenborg II 3-1 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Surnadal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg II win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 63%, draw 25%, Surnadal 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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