30/09/2024
·
20:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
4-0
KFUM II vs Assiden IF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
26%
Draw
17%
23%
Away Win
17%
40%
Under 2.5
22%
60%
Over 2.5
78%
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
50%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KFUM II v Assiden IF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
KFUM II
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Assiden IF
EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
3.33/0.51
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.64/1.61
+29%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-52%
/
+59%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
5
443 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
1.0
KFUM II vs Assiden IF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
KFUM II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Assiden IF
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
1
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
KFUM II 2-0 Assiden IF — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
KFUM II
2-0
AWAY
Assiden IF
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
0
2
Yellow Cards
0
POST-MATCH
KFUM II vs Assiden IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
KFUM II got the better of Assiden IF 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had KFUM II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, KFUM II had 57% of the ball to Assiden IF's 43%, shots finished 13-8.
What was the final score of KFUM II vs Assiden IF?
KFUM II 2-0 Assiden IF in the Norway - 3rd Division on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KFUM II vs Assiden IF?
Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split KFUM II 51%, draw 26%, Assiden IF 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFUM II) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (KFUM II)
✗ Over 2.5
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
30 Sep 2024