CA Penarol 0-1 Central Espanol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 2 Jun 2026

📅02/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.82
Over
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
CA Penarol win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.3pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Espanol EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.57/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.27
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Central Espanol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2026 Central Espanol Central Espanol 2-1 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
0-1
AWAY Central Espanol
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Central Espanol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Espanol nicked a narrow win over CA Penarol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. CA Penarol carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA Penarol had 59% of the ball to Central Espanol's 41%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Central Espanol?

CA Penarol 0-1 Central Espanol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 02/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Central Espanol?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 64%, draw 20%, Central Espanol 16%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →