KA Akureyri 3-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 2 Jul 2024

KA Akureyri
3-2 HT 2-1
Valur
📅02/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup – 2024

KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KA Akureyri v Valur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.35
+105% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

KA Akureyri vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 2.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
311 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Valur Valur 3-1 HT 1-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
07.08.2023 Valur Valur 4-2 HT 3-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
13.05.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-4 HT 0-3 Valur Valur İZL
29.10.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-0 HT 2-0 Valur Valur İZL
17.09.2022 Valur Valur 0-1 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
04.07.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri nicked a narrow win over Valur 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Valur?

KA Akureyri 3-2 Valur in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 34%, draw 24%, Valur 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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