Valur vs KA Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v KA Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs KA Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
0-4
HT 0-3
Valur
İZL
2-0
HT 2-0
Valur
İZL
0-1
HT 0-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
1-1
HT 0-0
Valur
İZL
1-4
HT 1-1
KA Akureyri
İZL
Valur 3-1 KA Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics
Valur beat KA Akureyri 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Valur had 54% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 46%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.82 to 1.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valur and 1.67 for KA Akureyri.
What was the final score of Valur vs KA Akureyri?
Valur 3-1 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs KA Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Valur 53%, draw 22%, KA Akureyri 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.