İA Akranes 3-0 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.54/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.12
+64% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
30.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Vestri
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.07.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
13.05.2023 Vestri Vestri 2-2 HT 0-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL1
11.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 0-3 Vestri Vestri İZLK
05.03.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-1 HT 2-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
3-0
AWAY Vestri
4.10 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
304 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes swept aside Vestri 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İA Akranes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İA Akranes had 50% of the ball to Vestri's 50%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 4.10 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İA Akranes had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for İA Akranes and 1.00 for Vestri.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Vestri?

İA Akranes 3-0 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 50%, draw 23%, Vestri 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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