Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Palmeiras
BREPAU
0-1
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Corinthians
BR1
Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras saw off Corinthians 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Palmeiras had 49% of the ball to Corinthians's 51%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 0.99 to 0.84.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palmeiras and 0.83 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 49%, draw 25%, Corinthians 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.