CRB 1-1 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 2 Jul 2024

CRB
1-1 HT 0-0
Brusque
📅02/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.45
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.85
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.36/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
-6% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.2 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Brusque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
339 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2022 Brusque Brusque 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
16.07.2022 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
15.11.2021 Brusque Brusque 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
13.08.2021 CRB CRB 3-0 HT 3-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-1
AWAY Brusque
1.17 xG 2.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
409 Passes 226
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CRB vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB and Brusque shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CRB at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, CRB had 62% of the ball to Brusque's 38%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.17 to 2.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CRB and 0.50 for Brusque.

What was the final score of CRB vs Brusque?

CRB 1-1 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CRB 51%, draw 27%, Brusque 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CRB), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
2 Jul 2024
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