Santos vs Chapecoense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Chapecoense — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Chapecoense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Santos
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Santos
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Chapecoense
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
Santos 1-0 Chapecoense — Actual Match Statistics
Santos squeezed past Chapecoense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Santos had 58% of the ball to Chapecoense's 42%, shots finished 24-22, expected goals 1.27 to 0.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santos and 0.17 for Chapecoense.
What was the final score of Santos vs Chapecoense?
Santos 1-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Chapecoense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santos 54%, draw 27%, Chapecoense 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.