Zenit St. Petersburg 5-2 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Jul 2024

📅02/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
10%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-10.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 16%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+44% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.03 xG 0.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
541 Passes 307
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.10.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
27.05.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 7-0 HT 4-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
03.04.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
03.10.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5-2
AWAY FC Sochi
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 18
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg ran out comfortable winners over FC Sochi 5-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 53% of the ball to FC Sochi's 47%, shots finished 19-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.50 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi?

Zenit St. Petersburg 5-2 FC Sochi in the Friendlies on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 59%, draw 20%, FC Sochi 21%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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