Zorya Luhansk 1-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Jul 2024

📅02/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.0pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 45%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.59/2.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-60% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
1-1
AWAY MTK Budapest
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zorya Luhansk and MTK Budapest couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zorya Luhansk had 53% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 47%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs MTK Budapest?

Zorya Luhansk 1-1 MTK Budapest in the Friendlies on 02/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated an MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 36%, draw 25%, MTK Budapest 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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