Dayton Dutch Lions 0-1 Lexington II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 2 Jul 2025

📅02/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
7.18
Draw
14%
4.81
Away
53%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
11%
+21.2pp
14%
Draw
18%
-3.5pp
53%
Away Win
71%
-17.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dayton Dutch Lions EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Lexington II EU Bookmakers 75%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
255 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dayton Dutch Lions vs Lexington II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington II nicked a narrow win over Dayton Dutch Lions 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lexington II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Dayton Dutch Lions vs Lexington II?

Dayton Dutch Lions 0-1 Lexington II in the USA - USL League 2 on 02/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dayton Dutch Lions vs Lexington II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lexington II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dayton Dutch Lions 32%, draw 14%, Lexington II 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington II), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lexington II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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