Thor Akureyri 3-3 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 2 Jul 2026

Thor Akureyri
3-3 HT 3-1
KR Reykjavik
📅02/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2026

Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
71%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.32
No
37%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
-0.2pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.2pp
71%
Away Win
70%
+0.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.9pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v KR Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
0.84/3.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.32
+64% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -39%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
218 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.1
17.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
2.60 xG 3.10
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
169 Passes 496
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 63
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.04.2026 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 5-2 HT 2-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
27.02.2021 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-4 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
04.10.2014 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-1 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
10.07.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
07.08.2013 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
16.05.2013 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-0 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL

Thor Akureyri 3-3 KR Reykjavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thor Akureyri
3-3
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.68 xG 3.95
10 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
165 Passes 583
12 Box Touches 66
12 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri and KR Reykjavik couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had KR Reykjavik at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 1.68 to 3.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thor Akureyri and 3.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

Thor Akureyri 3-3 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 02/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 14%, draw 16%, KR Reykjavik 71%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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