KR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KR Reykjavik v Thor Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
KR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-1
KR Reykjavik
İZLK
4-1
HT 2-1
Thor Akureyri
İZL
2-0
HT 1-0
KR Reykjavik
İZL
1-3
HT 0-1
KR Reykjavik
İZL
3-0
HT 1-0
Thor Akureyri
İZL
1-2
HT 1-0
KR Reykjavik
İZL
KR Reykjavik 5-2 Thor Akureyri — Actual Match Statistics
KR Reykjavik swept aside Thor Akureyri 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, KR Reykjavik had 67% of the ball to Thor Akureyri's 33%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 3.10 to 2.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for KR Reykjavik and 0.83 for Thor Akureyri.
What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
KR Reykjavik 5-2 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 57%, draw 22%, Thor Akureyri 21%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.