Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stjarnan v FH Hafnarfjordur — Team-Based Signals
Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Stjarnan 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Actual Match Statistics
Stjarnan squeezed past FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Stjarnan had 72% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 28%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.87 to 1.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stjarnan's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stjarnan and 1.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.
What was the final score of Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
Stjarnan 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 49%, draw 20%, FH Hafnarfjordur 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.