Stjarnan 4-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 18 Jun 2024

Stjarnan
4-2 HT 1-1
FH Hafnarfjordur
📅18/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.1pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stjarnan v FH Hafnarfjordur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.20/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.98
+36% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
13.4 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.41 xG 1.34
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.06.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-0 HT 3-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
15.04.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
17.09.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 2-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
04.07.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.03.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-3 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK

Stjarnan 4-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
4-2
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.41 xG 1.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
364 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan got the better of FH Hafnarfjordur 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stjarnan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 55% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 45%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.41 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stjarnan and 1.17 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Stjarnan 4-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 40%, draw 25%, FH Hafnarfjordur 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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