Valur 2-2 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 18 Jun 2024

Valur
2-2 HT 0-1
Vikingur R.
📅18/06/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Valur vs Vikingur R. Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.6pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valur v Vikingur R. — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
2.26/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.91
+8% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 74%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.3 Crosses 20.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Valur vs Vikingur R. Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.77 xG 2.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
349 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZSK
07.10.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
20.08.2023 Valur Valur 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
29.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-3 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
18.03.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 0-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLK
05.10.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL

Valur 2-2 Vikingur R. — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-2
AWAY Vikingur R.
2.93 xG 1.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
433 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Valur vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and Vikingur R. shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 59% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 41%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.93 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valur and 2.50 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Valur vs Vikingur R.?

Valur 2-2 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Valur 34%, draw 28%, Vikingur R. 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vikingur R.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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