Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 18 Jun 2024

Fram Reykjavik
1-2 HT 1-0
HK Kopavogur
📅18/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fram Reykjavik v HK Kopavogur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 25%
+23% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.92/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.51
+32% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.4 Crosses 22.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.29 xG 1.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
288 Passes 330
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.09.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
28.06.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
16.04.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
04.09.2015 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
02.07.2015 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
28.07.2008 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL

Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HK Kopavogur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1-2
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.40 xG 1.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 4
383 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur edged past Fram Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 59% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 41%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.17 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur?

Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 46%, draw 24%, HK Kopavogur 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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