İA Akranes 2-1 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 18 Jun 2024

📅18/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.89/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.59
+19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
243 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
Crosses 20.7
Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
0W-2D-4L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
04.09.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-4 HT 2-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
15.06.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
25.08.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
30.05.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
30.08.2020 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-1 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
2-1
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.31 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 5
300 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes nicked a narrow win over KR Reykjavik 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; İA Akranes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İA Akranes had 48% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 52%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.31 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for İA Akranes and 3.17 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?

İA Akranes 2-1 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 37%, draw 28%, KR Reykjavik 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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