Stjarnan 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.52
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.06/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.55
+14% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
14.5 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.91 xG 1.63
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 0-3 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
18.06.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
24.09.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.06.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-0 HT 3-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
15.04.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
17.09.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 2-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
3-2
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.32 xG 1.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 201
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan squeezed past FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Stjarnan had 61% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 39%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 2.32 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Stjarnan and 0.83 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Stjarnan 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 46%, draw 28%, FH Hafnarfjordur 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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