Fram Reykjavik 1-4 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.77
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.4pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.54/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.38
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
20.6 Crosses 24.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-0D-4L
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.43 xG 1.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
23.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
13.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
01.10.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
20.08.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
29.05.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-2 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1-4
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.80 xG 2.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
317 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri cruised past Fram Reykjavik 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 52% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 48%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.80 to 2.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.17 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Fram Reykjavik 1-4 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 30%, draw 28%, KA Akureyri 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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