Fram Reykjavik 1-2 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.92/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
+11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.0 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.43 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
252 Passes 369
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 32
24 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
13.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
01.10.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
20.08.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
29.05.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-2 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
04.09.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1-2
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.43 xG 1.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
346 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri squeezed past Fram Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day KA Akureyri made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 53% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 47%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.43 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.17 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Fram Reykjavik 1-2 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 39%, draw 23%, KA Akureyri 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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