KA Akureyri 3-2 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.74/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.56
-16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
26.6 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.24 xG 1.93
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
01.10.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
20.08.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
29.05.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-2 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
04.09.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
26.06.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 4-1 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
3-2
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.42 xG 0.43
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 11
373 Passes 239
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 20
35 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri squeezed past Fram Reykjavik 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 57% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 43%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.42 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.33 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?

KA Akureyri 3-2 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 47%, draw 23%, Fram Reykjavik 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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