Breidablik 1-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.5pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.89/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.66
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.6 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
6W-0D-0L
AWAY İA Akranes
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.03.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
01.08.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
27.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-3 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
07.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-5 HT 0-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
26.02.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
16.08.2021 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
1-1
AWAY İA Akranes
2.22 xG 1.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
505 Passes 201
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik and İA Akranes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Breidablik carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Breidablik had 67% of the ball to İA Akranes's 33%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.22 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Breidablik and 1.17 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Breidablik 1-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 56%, draw 19%, İA Akranes 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5
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