FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.6pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
2.20/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.01
+2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
25.6 Crosses 19.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fylkir
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.14 xG 1.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
414 Passes 222
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 21
36 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.07.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-4 HT 1-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
24.04.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 4-2 HT 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
10.03.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 0-3 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
18.07.2021 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
01.05.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
21.09.2020 Fylkir Fylkir 1-4 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3-1
AWAY Fylkir
1.05 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
269 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur beat Fylkir 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FH Hafnarfjordur as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 51% of the ball to Fylkir's 49%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.05 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.50 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fylkir?

FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 50%, draw 22%, Fylkir 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
23 Jun 2024
20:00 KA Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 Breidablik vs İA Akranes Analysis →