Fylkir 2-3 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 56%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.99
+27% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
20.7 Crosses 22.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.45 xG 1.78
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
225 Passes 366
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
24.07.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-4 HT 1-2 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
24.04.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 4-2 HT 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
10.03.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 0-3 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
18.07.2021 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
01.05.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
2-3
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.65 xG 1.98
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
190 Passes 383
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur edged past Fylkir 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FH Hafnarfjordur as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fylkir had 38% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 62%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.65 to 1.98 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FH Hafnarfjordur's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fylkir and 2.17 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Fylkir 2-3 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated an FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 26%, draw 26%, FH Hafnarfjordur 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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