İA Akranes 1-2 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.2pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 50%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
2.31/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.72
+35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
29.0 Crosses 20.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Breidablik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.30 xG 2.22
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 505
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.06.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
27.03.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
01.08.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
27.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-3 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
07.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-5 HT 0-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
26.02.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-2
AWAY Breidablik
1.81 xG 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
151 Passes 346
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 38
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik squeezed past İA Akranes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Breidablik found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, İA Akranes had 38% of the ball to Breidablik's 62%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.81 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İA Akranes and 3.17 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Breidablik?

İA Akranes 1-2 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 32%, draw 29%, Breidablik 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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